Top 40 Parlay: Chris Kirk and Tyrrell Hatton to both finish Top 40 (+179). Contending into the weekend at The Farmers in his previous start, Steele is in great form heading into a course hes shown consistent success at over his career. The faster the greens and harder the course the better chance Zalatoris has of victory. Lets get to our 2023 WM Phoenix Open longshots and sleepers for your DFS lineups and betting cards. Caddie: Max Homa (+130) over Scottie Scheffler (DraftKings) Homas ball-striking is in an elite category right now, and theres no reason to believe he shouldnt keep up his hot form. Designed by John Steidel, China Creek Golf Course measures 2627 He finished 29th last week at THE PLAYERS Championship and 10th the week prior at the Arnold Palmer Invitational so he is playing some great Florida golf. Combine that with his form and I think hes in line for another great showing. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Keith Mitchell (50-1, Bet365) Mitchell proved he can hang with the big guns at Riviera, and he didnt have his A game on approach. Defending tournament champion Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy and current No. After two Something clearly clicked for him at Riviera, and this is the number to cash in on. He lost more than seven strokes putting in his latest start. RSM Classic: Davis Riley. Weve been on a heater in the matchup and top-10 markets, going up more than 27 units this season. That continues a streak that started with Brandon Gdula correctly predicting Scottie Schefflers win at the WM Phoenix Open (13-1) and Rick Gehman hitting Jon Rahm at the Genesis Invitational (+750). A former two-time intern, he also helps keep GOLF.com humming outside the news-breaking stories and service content provided by our reporters and writers, and works with the tech team in the development of new products and innovative ways to deliver an engaging site to our audience. None of us trade notes before the week but weve all arrived at the same conclusion in regards to a particular Wake Forest Demon Deacon at an event with the most iconic Wake Forest alum in the tournament name. ORLANDO, FLORIDA - MARCH 06: Viktor Hovland of Norway plays a shot on the sixth hole during the final round of the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard at Arnold Palmer Bay Hill Golf Course on March 06, 2022 in Orlando, Florida. The DFS price at $7,200 is more than fair, and projected ownership doesnt look to be over the top yet, so Im a full go on Steele at TPC Scottsdale. Finau has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he's a target for One and Done Pick for Arnold Palmer Invitational: Jon Rahm. Our outright panelwhich consists of a caddie reporting anonymously from the grounds at Bay Hill; Pat Mayo of DraftKings and FantasyNational.com; Brandon Gdula of numberFire/FanDuel; Rick Gehman of RickRunGood.com; Andy Lack of RRG and his Inside Golf Podcast; and your two authorsis all aboard the Willy Z train. This playercould pull off a STUNNING victory and cash in HUGE for anyone who backs him! A graduate at Syracuse University, John works out of Jersey City as a Director of Media Strategy for HBO and HBO Max. Andy Lack is a PGA Tour writer and podcaster from New York City who now resides in Los Angeles. (Photo by Maddie Meyer/Getty Images). Sony Open: Matt Kuchar. GOLF.com and GOLF Magazine are published by EB GOLF MEDIA LLC, a division of 8AM GOLF, Former Masters champ is our long-shot bet in LA: 2023 Genesis Invitational odds, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational tee times: Round 1 groupings for Thursday, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational: How to watch, TV schedule, streaming, tee times, Absolutely horrendous: Xander Schauffele explains Bay Hills juicy rough, Meet the new GOLF Top 100 Teachers of America, Is a 7-wood, 3-hybrid or 3-iron most suitable for your game? No Sweat First Bet up to $1,000. But before we down our tools for the week, look at the odds of the most recent winners of the Genesis Invitational. The expert finished the 2021-22 season up 42 units on his outrights, including a MONSTER 250-1 payout on Hudson Swafford at The American Express. The 2013 Masters champions odds-to-win the Genesis are +5500, which are better odds than you usually will find among our long-shot picks. Pendrith is one of eight players in the field to rank top 15 in both Driving Distance and SG: OTT. Speaking of patterns, how about the prices on Lowry lately? Shop the best odds for PGA TOUR golf sleepers and more highly-touted players across sportsbooks here, including for top 10, top 20, etc. Bradley was runner-up at Bay Hill in 2014 and third in 2013. You can see the top 20 in Genesis Invitational betting odds as of Monday afternoon at the bottom of this post, or head over to BetMGM to see the full list of odds and bets for this week. Houston Open: Sepp Straka. More recently, he finished 10th in 2021 and 11th last season. I love that he is now traveling to a course that will put less pressure on his putter, and I expect him to build upon his 13th-place finish last year. Farmers: Will Zalatoris. McIlroy is intimately familiar with Bay Hill, though, as a past champion (2018) and with no finish worse than T13 in the past five starts here. The Wake Forest connection with Arnold Palmer is obvious, but more so, hes very much like Rory in that hes a bomber who likes to move it from right to left. Gehman: Justin Thomas (20-1, Bet365) There are more questions than answers in Thomas game right now as he continues to show inconsistencies with his best attributehis approach play. He lost three strokes on approach at Riviera, a trend that has become more common for him than in any other point in his career. Golf News Written By John Haslbauer on February 28, 2023 For the third time in four weeks, all of the PGA TOURs best have assembled for an elevated event, this time in Orlando for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. His 27 FSWA nominations lead all writers this decade and are second-most all-time. Touts are lame. Start the Golf Season off right with InsideGOLF ($100 value - just $20). Genesis: Justin Thomas. Sanderson Farms Championship: J.T. Bay Hill has been a ball-strikers paradise historically, and theres no better ball-striker to go to war with (besides Willy Z) than Kawa. Pick to Win Arnold Palmer Invitational (0.5 Units): Rory McIlroy (+950). Atlantic Sun Tournament Odds: Liberty The Clear-Cut Favorite, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Tournament Preview: Everything You Need To Know About Bay Hill. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop," where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy lineups. Bay Hill Club & Lodge will be the host in Orlando this week as we are readying for another PGA Tour designated event at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Only he and Jon Rahm rank top-10 in SG/tee-to-green and SG/putting over the past 50 rounds, according to datagolf. The Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 field features 44 of the world's top 50 golfers, and they are in for a difficult test. Its worth noting that Day has played more rounds than both of those guys. He actually putts decent here, gaining more than five strokes to the field over the past two years. Mix in the fact hes gone fifth-eighth-15th-13th in his last four starts at API and youve got the recipe for a Florida Swing heater. Breaking down the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks for this week at Bay Hill with our best bets, One and Done selection and more PGA Tour expert picks. | RoboTest, Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard. Standing just under 7,500 yards, Bay Hill presents similar challenges we come to expect in a major championship venue. Skip to main content. Gehman: Keegan Bradley (75-1, FanDuel) Bradley putted himself out of Los Angeles, losing nearly four strokes on the greens over just two rounds, resulting in an MC. Lack: Sungjae Im (33-1, BetMGM) This is a pure situational fade for me. Prior to that debacle, Bradley has five top-25 finishes in his previous seven startsincluding a win at the ZOZO Championship. Weve been up and down with our PGA Tour expert picks and best bets for these elevated events thus far but after a solid week at the Honda that was close to being great, were about to lock in with our Arnold Palmer Invitational picks. Written By John Haslbauer on August 16, 2022. Hahn enters this week in the midst of an 8-event stretch in which hes gained strokes on approach. Although his history at Bay Hill isnt extensive, he did finish T-24 here in 2020, his lone start. Mayo helped create the golf stats and research website Fantasy National along with the Race for the Mayo Cup One and Done contest. Im not going to stand here and pretend Im not terrified of Luke Lists putting prospects this week, considering he has now gone 18 consecutive events since he last gained on the greens. Matchup Results from the Honda Classic: Caddie: 1 for 1 (Griffin (+130) over Frittelli and O Hair, Round 1); Mayo: 1 for 1 (Meronk (+105) over C. Davis); Gehman: 1 for 1 (M.W. Shriners: Taylor Montgomery. A Fall Swing heaters has continued on into 2023 for Putnam, whos already piled up six top-30 finishes and two top-5s this season. The expert's two other longshots -- Austin Smotherman (65-1) and Hayden Buckley (80-1) -- both finished in the top 26. That trend is likely not to continue with such a strong field, including seven of the top 20 That may not sound like much, but for this price, that combination of tee-to-green consistency and course history prowess make a great formula for a top-40 push. 1 Scottie Scheffler is tied for second with No. Were getting value based on Rorys slow start on the West Coast, which was mainly short-game induced. Hoffman will assuredly not find himself on my outright card this week. The intangible Im looking for from players inside the arena at TPC Scottsdale is an ability to perform in a high pressure atmosphere, and Steele has displayed poise in big moments, finishing top-15 at the PGA Championship and THE PLAYERS last season. After a lull last week with the Honda Classic, the heat picks up considerably for the next few weeks as we head to Bay Hill for the Arnold Palmier Invitational followed by THE PLAYERS Championship at TPC Sawgrass. All betting content is intended for an audience ages 21+. Hes made it through the cut in each trip to TPC Scottsdale, highlighted by a T17 in 2021. But, with three top-20 finishes over five career Arnold Palmer Invitational appearances, he can still be an active contributor in DraftKings lineups. Given that he also has a win and a T2 in his past three starts here, I think he asserts himself on the leaderboard this week. 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