PFF's Best Bets Tool reveals the bets PFF's data and algorithms give the biggest edge to within spread, total, player prop, and moneyline markets. And it made the crowd. interim Sports Wagering Supplier license, under license number SWS 066, issued by the West Virginia Lottery The Broncos averaged 31.5 points per game. BET: Chiefs Over 27.5 Points at Colts (-115 DraftKings) Chiefs Have the League's Best Offense: Kansas City leads the NFL with the highest average True Score at 35.8 points, including 44.7 in Week 1 and 26.9 in Week 2. To read his wild card column, click here. While Washington doesnt have an especially threatening secondary, they do have a fierce pass rush. That isnt an amazing wide receiving corps on paper. Offensive Points per Game (Estimated) ESPN's NBA experts update their NBA Power Rankings every week, which landed the Bulls at No. A 2011 journalism graduate from Nebraska-Omaha, he combines those skills with his love of sports and statistics to help bettors make more informed decisions with a focus on pro football, baseball and basketball. The final matchup that could produce a high-scoring affair, is the San Francisco 49ers traveling to take on the Detroit Lions. There are a handful of teams that wont have lofty expectations for 2021. Chicago doesnt project to have a great defense or even a good one, in all likelihood. : The Falcons have scored 26.5 points per game, but their True Score average has been 24.0 points per game, meaning their underlying metrics arent as high on them as the results have been. 2nd Quarter Points/Game. The Eagles and Giants are two teams that look improved on paper, but it remains to be seen by how much. Betting Pick and Prediction for Bucks vs. Raptors Wednesday, January 4th (2023). More Offense by Quarter Stats. Underachievers GW36: Which players are due an FPL goal? : Pittsburgh has a 7.5% explosive play rate, the lowest rate in the NFL. Red Zone Scores per Game (TDs only) Red Zone Scoring Percentage (TD only) Extra Point Attempts per Game. Especially being that the 49ers have the #2 ranked TE in the game with George Kittle. Dave Blezow makes his NFL Wild Card Weekend picks for Sunday and Monday's games. If Hurts cant be the answer under center, a weak showing could be coming again. Five new starters are there to protect Patrick Mahomes, and the running game . Maher made at least two field goals in nine of 17 games played this season, including in four out of the last five contests. One thing to watch: how quickly will the Bills integrate Isaiah McKenzie into Cole Beasleys old role? Special Teams Points per Game (Estimated), Offensive Point Share Percentage (Estimated), Average Time of Possession (Excluding OT), Time of Possession Percentage (Excluding OT), Field Goal Conversion Percentage (Excluding Blocks), Opponent Red Zone Scoring Attempts per Game, Opponent Red Zone Scores per Game (TDs only), Opponent Red Zone Scoring Percentage (TD only), Opponent Two Point Conversion Attempts per Game, Opponent Extra Point Conversion Percentage, Opponent Special Teams Touchdowns per Game, Opponent Offensive Points per Game (Estimated), Opponent Defensive Points per Game (Estimated), Opponent Special Teams Points per Game (Estimated), Opponent Offensive Point Share Percentage (Estimated), Opponent Fourth Down Conversions per Game, Opponent Average Time of Possession (Excluding OT), Opponent Time of Possession Percentage (Excluding OT), Opponent Third Down Conversion Percentage, Opponent Fourth Down Conversion Percentage, Opponent Non-Offensive Touchdowns per Game, Opponent Field Goal Conversion Percentage, Opponent Field Goal Conversion Percentage (Net of Blocks), Percent of Games With Interception Thrown, Opponent Percent of Games With Interception Thrown, Opponent Giveaway Fumble Recovery Percentage, Opponent Takeaway Fumble Recovery Percentage. Of QBs even approaching starters snaps, he finished 29th of 31 in EPA+CPOE composite. Leonard and George combined to score 12 of the Clippers' first 19 points to open the third. Now, the model has set its sights on Super Wild Card Weekend and Chargers vs. Jaguars. receive our occasional offers and news, you may opt-out at any time. San Francisco, 7 Giants 3 was the final scoreline. Enter your email and we'll send you exclusive predictions and analysis. The Fantasy Football Scout Points Projection Tool assesses the different FPL assets and predicts their points returns. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. They got a coaching upgrade via Robert Saleh, but improving their roster and finding success could take time. According to some fantasy football projections, the Giants rank somewhere around 18 out of 32 teams in terms of ability to stop opposing offensive numbers. Sunday BUFFALO BILLS (-13) over Miami Dolphins: Over 43.5. The 48 collective points they scored earlier this season in that Week 3 matchup hit the Over, but I'm leaning Under in this matchup. affiliate links and make purchases, WSN earns a commission from our partners, including ESPN and various The Cleveland Browns have proven this season that they can keep up with the higher scoring . Every season brings something different, and this season will be no different. "The Chargers went 7-9-1 to the Over this season, while the Jaguars were closer to .500 at 8-9. 1. . On top of that, their bad play rate is about league average, illustrating the Steelers lack the firepower to get themselves out of a hole when a bad play occurs. Needless to say, improving from what they were a year ago may not look like much. Atlantas Offense Has Overperformed: The Falcons have scored 26.5 points per game, but their True Score average has been 24.0 points per game, meaning their underlying metrics arent as high on them as the results have been. The 2022-23 Premier League is back after more than 40 days. Statistical data provided by Gracenote. Two Point Conversion Attempts per Game. Helping bettors understand when to make a bet using a betting trend. Cowboys to stick with Maher, reportedly add insurance, Pickett: NFL reunion with Pitt teammate 'awesome' idea, NFL head coach and general manager interview tracker, DC Martindale says Eagles RB Scott not a 'Giant killer', Latest Super Bowl odds after Super Wild Card Weekend, Jaguars vs. Chargers wild-card round betting guide, Biggest questions facing 8 remaining playoff teams, Prisco's picks: 'Boys stun 49ers, 'dogs rule, Breech's picks: Giants, Bengals win shockers, Trey Lance posts cryptic IG message after Titans hire, Ranking all eight teams left standing in divisional round, Jerry Jones reacts to sked disadvantage vs. 49ers, Jackson landing spots: 15 possibilities if QB exits. How many of them are in your current draft? These two teams did meet earlier this season, and Trevor Lawrence outplayed Justin Herbert by throwing three touchdowns and registering a 115.5 passer rating in a 38-10 victory. Philadelphia had a plethora of issues in their dreadful 4-11-1 season of a year ago. New York was the worst scoring offense in the NFL in 2020. Nick Bosa will breathe down his neck on Sunday, and Fields likely wont find much in the quick game with Fred Warner and Dre Greenlaw patrolling the intermediate area. Week 18 is here, and so are our analysts with their fantasy football rankings for this week's games. NFL footage NFL Productions LLC. The season continues with Boxing Day We're sorry, residents of your region are not accepted by this gambling site! In other words, NFL Week 1 implied team totals are how many points each team is expected to score this week, based on simple math with the spread and over/under. Best Bets for Which Team Scores the Fewest Points in the 2021 NFL Season, 5 NFL Teams Likely to Go Under Their 2021 Win Total, NBA Betting Prediction for Wednesday, January 18th Hawks vs. Mavericks Pick (2023). The Detroit Lions will head to Green Bay to take on their division rival Packers. Each of the four AFC and NFC teams has its own strengths and weaknesses, and the important skill of point-scoring is featured in this pair of fun special wagers, the goal is to figure out which teams you think will score the most and least points this weekend. Be the first one to comment on this story. Kansas City, MO, USA; Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) and head coach Andy Reid react after an interception against the Houston Texans at Arrowhead Stadium. : The Browns offense is second behind only the Eagles in avoiding bad plays through two weeks. It should be a long season in year one with Dan Campbell at the helm. Trevor Lawrence passing touchdowns: Over 1.5 (-115). All lines courtesy of BetMGM:. NOTE: The stats on this page include data ONLY from games involving two FBS schools. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more. In addition to these, the clash between San Francisco 49ers and New York Giants was another low scoring game. PFF predictions and real time spread, moneyline and over/under lines for each NFL game. 117656-1, The 17-year-old with autism made a layup in the final seconds of the . Discussing the chances that a model can beat the closing line spread over the long term. KEY: Tot = Total Touchdowns, R = Rushing Touchdowns, P = Touchdown Receptions, KR = Kickoff Return Touchdowns, PR = Punt Return Touchdowns, IR = Interception Return Touchdowns, FR = Fumble Return Touchdowns, BK = Blocked Field Goal Touchdowns, FGR = Missed Field Goal Return Touchdowns, PAT . Zach Ertz was one of the more productive tight ends heading into last season, but injuries have caught up with the Philadelphia legend lately. Date:Saturday, Jan. 14|Time:8:15 p.m. ETLocation:TIAA Bank Stadium (Jacksonville, Florida)TV:NBC|Stream:FuboTV(try for free)Odds: Chargers -1.5, O/U 47. So with their quarterbacks and defenses playing roughly the same, what's the tiebreaker? We can tell you the model is leaning Over the total, but to see everything the model has to say, head on over to Sportsline. The way Goff has played lately, he is among the bottom ten starters in the league. Predictions Methodology. A missed field goal? Believe it or not, the Jaguars may have some home-field advantage. An unproven or struggling quarterback is certainly one of them, which may be the case for the Houston Texans this year. On top of that, their bad play rate is about league average, illustrating the Steelers lack the firepower to get themselves out of a hole when a bad play occurs. Arkansas (vs. Coastal Carolina) The Razorbacks are just middle of the pack in the conference in scoring . 1 seed Kansas City Chiefs. We respect your privacy. The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. Personally, this is the matchup I'm most excited about this weekend. Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. A few things make this an interesting spot for them. Both passing games should have big days, so it should be a shootout. best bets for fewest wins in the NFL in 2021, Sleeper Picks to Win 2021 NFL Defensive Player of the Year, Best Under Bets for NFL RB Rushing Yard Totals in 2021, 2021 NFL Comeback Player of the Year Best Bets to Win, Betting lines are posted early for important events. Red Zone Scoring Attempts per Game. Every year, we have teams that overachieve and underachieve. The official source for NFL news, video highlights, fantasy football, game-day coverage, schedules, stats, scores and more. Many believe he will not take one snap for this team. Obviously, for one, what will Trey Lance bring to the table in his first start after an entire offseason of prepping to be the guy? Their young runner DAndre Swift could turn into a star running behind a solid offensive line, but the opposition will be aware of that. Last week, we used True Score to tell us which offenses were overvalued and undervalued after Week 1 based on performances that probably aren't sustainable week-to-week, leading to more or fewer points than what they should have scored. The @FFScout Points Projections Tool has predicted the top scorers of 2022/23. The lack of quarterbacks is a growing concern for these squads, but many have grueling schedules. We support responsible gambling. And it's looking more like . Playing for the widely derided Matt Nagy behind a mediocre offensive line, he did not have much of a chance to succeed. 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